The California Democratic Party put so much time and effort to generate a blue wave in the Golden State.
Here are the seats:The the latest results from the June 5th, 2018 primary suggest that instead of a wave, maybe a ripple was generated. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee hoped to target seven seats in California to win the majority.
Oh, and for added measure, let’s add their big plans to take on Devin Nunes in CD-22 and Duncan Hunter Jr. in CD-50, just for added measure.
Of course, the fawning, left-wing media is all aglow about the Democrats’ chances.
But let’s really assess the Democratic strategy overall and the “wins” they have chalked up going into the November 2018 general election.
Bob Huff, who ran unsuccessfully for Congress in CD-39, pointed this idea out during his visit to the North Orange County Republican Club in Fullerton two weeks ago. I agreed with him, and I think his take on the matter was quite accurate.
Here are the latest numbers from the California Secretary of State for those two incumbents:
Devin Nunes:
Nunes earned a higher perfecntage of the vote than all his other challengers combined.
Duncan Hunter Jr.:
Hunter faced opposition from other Republicans, and some of these challenges from the right have emerged because of investigation into Hunter’s alleged campaign finance misuses.
Yet despite all of that, the Republican tally exceeds the Democratic tally, and Hunter will have no problems getting re-elected, even if he gets indicted, convicted, disgraced, or anything else. Another Republican could win the seat easily in a special election if Hunter has to step down. I doubt any of this will happen, however.
The final summary on this item? The California and National Democratic Parties were not just idealistic in their aims, but delusional to the degree of mental illness. They actually thought that Nunes’ and Hunter’s seats could be in play. And they are not.
Mimi Walters’ office deal with these left-wing protesters repeatedly, and a few times I showed up to counterprotest along with constituents in the district who want their rights respected and their property protected.
There were so many Democrats running in these districts, that Democratic leaders feared that they would split the vote inexorably and allow two Republicans to sneak into the Top Two. I wanted that “Miller Effect” to occur, but that was not to be.
And yet … Democratic turnout was not strong, and the final numbers for those districts suggest that the two incumbents will do very well, and the fight for the two open seats will be harder than expected for the Democratic Party.
Let’s start with CD-45, Mimi Walters’ seat:
Walters did better than all the other candidates, combined, especially David Min, who was the most active progressive targeting this seat. He was particularly rude to me and a constituent named Kenny Straw–and now David Min is gone!
Ha Ha! Cousin Mimi will have no problem holding onto her house seat in November.
What about Dana Rohrabacher? He was facing intense challenges from the left AND from the right, including former OCGOP Chairman Scott Baugh.
What happened on Primary Day?
The total tally for Republican candidates and Democratic candidates breaks down like this:
GOP total 58,080
Dem total: 50,266
GOP turnout was higher, but it’s getting pretty close. Rohrbacher is facing a fight this time. Hopefully, however, the big money will come in to make sure that rides whatever blue wavelet comes through Surf City.
Rohrabacher is one of the most vocal opponents to illegal immigration, so no one should be surprised that Democrats are throwing everything they have at him to get him out office.
This race will probably be the closest of his career, but he will win.
Go Dana!
Now what about the open seats?
CD-39, Ed Royce’s seat, is open since Royce opted not to run again. He should have thrown his hat in the ring, since he exceeded his Democratic contender by double digits in 2016.
The campaign for the seat was a full-on free for all:
Here’s the breakdown on the final voter tally:
GOP total: 44, 037
Dem total: 37,873
This turnout was lower than the turnout in CD-48, for starters, which is remarkable in itself, since an open seat usually generates more attention if not at least more voters.
The fact remains that more Republicans than Democrats voted in the primary. Young Kim is the top vote-getter, followed by Gil Cisneros.
That’s bad news for the Democrats, because one of Gil’s former volunteers charged him with sexual harassment. Uh-Oh! Kim would be wise to hammer Cisneros for his #MeToo perversities. One report also suggests that Cisneros is a closet Republican! OUCH! What will Democrats do come November in CD-39?
Check out what the former staffer shared about Gil:
24 hours later replied with the below release on Twitter. This is so wrong in a few ways:
1-He was drunk.See DM
2-I’m not a surrogate for @AndyThorburnCA
3-Reporters are currently writing the story.
Nothing about phone call?
Try again sir!#MeToo #TimesUp pic.twitter.com/T9Eic9QS9N
— Melissa Fazli (@MelissaFazli) May 4, 2018
I predict that because of Royce’s endorsement and prior service in his office, followed by the growing Asian-American voting contingent in the district, Young Kim will be the next representative. The rancor within the Democratic Party is too great for Bernie-crat progressives to look past the #MeToo shame and the Big Money spent by Cisneros to buy the nomination.
Now for the most likely target for the Democrats: CD-49.
How did that turn out?
Here’s the vote breakdown:
CD-49
GOP total: 54,136
Dem total: 56,488
Oceanside, we have a problem.
Yikes! Democrats outperformed Republicans in this district. I am a little shocked, especially since South Orange County is one of the most conservative sections of California and Orange County. North San Diego County has a lot of military brass, too. Why would the district be shifting like this?
Congressman Darrell Issa was losing support steadily over the last four years, that’s true. He had angered Republicans as well as Democrats, which best explains why he was struggling to stay in office. Democrats are really fired up about this race, and it would be quite a notch in their belt to take the seat which had belonged to the former House Oversight Committee Chairman.
The Republican endorsed by both county parties and House Leadership, Diane Harkey, was the top vote-getter. Whom will she challenge going into the general election? While the California Secretary of State has listed the election as a “close contest”, Mike Levin is the next highest vote-getter, and currently he is 2,000 votes ahead of Sara Jacobs, another Democrat.
Diane Harkey has the support from all the major conservative players, and to her credit she shoved down Rocky Chavez, a full-on RINO who had backstabbed every conservative and every major party leader in the region. So glad that he is gone.
But can Harkey make up the small difference and win? This contest will be the most bitter, expensive campaign in the state. Just you watch. I would have to say 50/50 for now that it will stay in GOP hands, but Republicans cannot rest or take anything for granted.
Summary for Orange County
The worse case scenario, we will lose one house seat: CD-49. But if that’s the best that the Democrats can get, it will hardly measure up to a blue wave of any kind.
How did he do on primary day?
Steve Knight, the only Republican on the ballot, earned more than 50% of the vote.
He will win re-election, especially because his likely challenger, Katie Hill, is a full-on progressive who was caught on camera supporting single-payer healthcare, but then will work hard to downplay that progressive image to the conservative voters of the 25th Congressional district. Knight was first elected in 2014, running against another Republican in the Top Two. Despite some of the changing demographics in the district, Knight is a very popular representative with the basic voting public. His tenure in the state senate is still well-known, and despite some of his dithering on immigration issues, he will be a solid lock for re-election going into November.
Final Reflection
The Democratic wave crashed in California in 2018, just as Republican waves across the country had crashed in this state during past elections cycles. Finally, Republicans are looking strong going into the November General Elections.
Last of all, let’s not forget that we have a number of qualified contenders at the top of the ticket, including John Cox (yes, I wrote that), and Steve Bailey for Attorney General. At all costs, let’s get rid of Xavier Becerra. We must have a law enforcement who respects the rule of law, as opposed to a lawless ideologue pushing a destructive, abusive agenda.
People, the Blue Wave was media hype at its worst, a flabby myth flailing away.
Here comes the Red Wave, people, and even here in California it will start to crest for once.
I can’t withhold my joy following the May 8th, 2018 primaries in four states:
1. Indiana
2. North Carolina
3. Ohio
4. West Virginia
The US Senate GOP primary in West Virginia was not only contentious, but worrisome. Would establishment candidate Evan Jenkins make it? What about that Blakenship guy, a convicted felon who had violated mining laws and endangered the lives of his workers?
The best candidate was — and it — Patrick Morrisey. A conservative, concerned citizen, and well-read attorney general is the best candidate going forward to fight for working West Virginians.
But … within days of the primary, it looked as if the convicted felon was going to win the primary. The shock poll had everyone worried.
But … Morrisey pulled it off!
Here’s the full report from the Senate Conservatives Fund:
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Now, what about Joe Manchin, the embattled incumbent?
Well, he was facing a primary challenge from the left, a Bernie-crat socialist who wanted the government to do more for the hurting West Virginians, when government excesses are causing the rising poverty and privation.
Men need work, and Washington DC has spent more time undermining the working classes and backbone industries which have made America great and kept the country independent from foreign influence and intervention.
Manchin won his primary, but with 60% of the vote. Nearly 40% of West Virginia Democrats wanted someone else besides Manchin. This guy is not only facing a tough general election, but it looks as though the state is going to become a GOP sweep from top to bottom.
There is no way Manchin can survive now, especially with a candidate so well-liked by the President and the manifold coalition of Trump supporters who define West Virginia today.